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1999 National Collegiate Women's Rowing Championship

May 28-30, 1999
Lake Natoma
Sacramento, California, USA

Pre-Race Analysis for Friday Afternoon Repechage Heats

Opinion / Analysis by Kent Mitchell (Totally Unofficial)

Last updated: 3:15pm PDT on Friday

    Varsity Eight Repechage Heat 1

    Varsity Eight Repechage Heat 2

Disclaimer

If the crews in this afternoon's repechage heats row exactly the same splits and total times as in their morning heats, this analysis shows how the race will progress and end. It is useful for pre-race analysis only, and not as a prediction.

Varsity Eight Repechage Heat 1
Race time: Friday 4:00 pm

In this case, though, it appears that it will be very close between Harvard, Michigan State, Dartmouth and University of Massachusetts, particularly for 1000 meters. The third 500 meter interval is critical. Expect Harvard to make a move on the field here. U Mass cannot let them go and MSU and DAR must bear down here also. Expect MSU to be very strong in the end, despite lack of indication this morning in that regard. Possible finish order: Harvard, MSU, U.Mass and Dar, with others trailing, but first 4 too close to call based on this morning's results.

                    1999 NCAA WOMEN'S ROWING CHAMPIONSHIPS

                      VARSITY WOMEN'S EIGHT REPECHAGE-H 1

              ***** prediction *****         ***** prediction *****


LANE CREW RELATIVE POSITIONS      WIND            ELAPSED   SPLIT    STROKES/
                            1500*  0 M/S    CREW   TIME     TIME    MTRS TO GO
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+  
  7  MAR       <MAR                          MSU  1:39.45  1:39.45
  6  WLS           <WLS                      HAR  1:40.18  1:40.18
  5  MAS    <MAS                             DAR  1:41.55  1:41.55
  4  HAR  <HAR                               MAS  1:42.59  1:42.59
  3  DAR   <DAR                              MAR  1:45.66  1:45.66
  2  MSU <MSU                                WLC  1:46.27  1:46.27
  1  WLC        <WLC                         WLS  1:49.36  1:49.36
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            1000*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  7  MAR               <MAR                  HAR  3:26.39  1:46.21
  6  WLS                 <WLS                MSU  3:26.89  1:47.43
  5  MAS    <MAS                             DAR  3:29.00  1:47.44
  4  HAR <HAR                                MAS  3:29.49  1:46.89
  3  DAR    <DAR                             WLC  3:38.05  1:51.77
  2  MSU  <MSU                               MAR  3:40.85  1:55.18
  1  WLC            <WLC                     WLS  3:43.16  1:53.80
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            500 *
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  7  MAR                        <            HAR  5:12.79  1:46.39
  6  WLS                                     MSU  5:16.32  1:49.42
  5  MAS       <MAS                          DAR  5:16.52  1:47.52
  4  HAR <HAR                                MAS  5:19.01  1:49.52
  3  DAR     <DAR                            WLC  5:29.04  1:50.99
  2  MSU     <MSU                            MAR  5:37.51  1:56.66
  1  WLC                 <WLC                WLS  5:37.97  1:54.80
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                          FINISH*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  7  MAR                                     MAS  6:59.27  1:40.26
  6  WLS                                     HAR  7:01.20  1:48.41
  5  MAS <MAS                                DAR  7:02.83  1:46.30
  4  HAR   <HAR                              MSU  7:11.86  1:55.54
  3  DAR     <DAR                            WLC  7:21.04  1:51.99
  2  MSU             <MSU                    MAR  7:30.64  1:53.13
  1  WLC                      <WL            WLS  7:31.88  1:53.91
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+

           ***** prediction *****            ***** prediction *****

COPYRIGHT 1999 ** JAMCO SOFTWARE FOR SPLITS **
http://www.jamcotimes.com

View actual results from Varsity Eight Repechage Heat 1.

 

Varsity Eight Repechage Heat 2
Race time: Friday, 4:20 pm

Opinion / Analysis by Kent Mitchell (Totally Unofficial)

Look for Wisconsin to take the early lead, dogged by USC, Oregon State, Virginia and Boston University. The other crews may fall off the pace in the early going. All of the lead crews must watch for a move by Virginia in the 3rd 500 meter interval. USC's crew seemed to let off significantly after 500meters in the heat and should be right with Virginia based on past performances. Still the possible result in order of finish is Virginia, USC, Boston U, Oregon State or Wisconsin with 3rd though 5th being a toss-up and with Davis in there, close, but still probably 6th.

                    1999 NCAA WOMEN'S ROWING CHAMPIONSHIPS

                      VARSITY WOMEN'S EIGHT REPECHAGE-H 2

              ***** prediction *****         ***** prediction *****

LANE CREW RELATIVE POSITIONS      WIND            ELAPSED   SPLIT    STROKES/
                            1500*  0 M/S    CREW   TIME     TIME    MTRS TO GO
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+  
  6  OSU   <OSU                              WIS  1:39.91  1:39.91
  5  UCD        <UCD                         OSU  1:42.15  1:42.15
  4  VIR     <VIR                            USC  1:42.22  1:42.22
  3  WIS <WIS                                BOS  1:42.69  1:42.69
  2  BOS    <BOS                             VIR  1:44.13  1:44.13
  1  USC   <USC                              UCD  1:46.44  1:46.44
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            1000*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  OSU    <OSU                             WIS  3:27.27  1:47.36
  5  UCD          <UCD                       OSU  3:30.41  1:48.26
  4  VIR     <VIR                            USC  3:30.63  1:48.41
  3  WIS <WIS                                VIR  3:31.08  1:46.94
  2  BOS     <BOS                            BOS  3:31.72  1:49.02
  1  USC    <USC                             UCD  3:35.95  1:49.51
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                            500 *
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  OSU     <OSU                            VIR  5:15.55  1:44.47
  5  UCD           <UCD                      BOS  5:19.66  1:47.93
  4  VIR <VIR                                OSU  5:19.92  1:49.51
  3  WIS      <WIS                           WIS  5:21.25  1:53.97
  2  BOS     <BOS                            UCD  5:25.92  1:49.96
  1  USC             <USC                    USC  5:28.17  1:57.53
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
                          FINISH*
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+
  6  OSU               <OSU                  VIR  6:57.30  1:41.75
  5  UCD                   <UCD              BOS  7:10.85  1:51.19
  4  VIR <VIR                                OSU  7:12.20  1:52.27
  3  WIS                <WIS                 WIS  7:13.17  1:51.92
  2  BOS              <BOS                   UCD  7:15.25  1:49.32
  1  USC                                     USC  7:21.98  1:53.80
         ---+---+---+---+---+---+

          ***** prediction *****             ***** prediction *****

COPYRIGHT 1999 ** JAMCO SOFTWARE FOR SPLITS **
http://www.jamcotimes.com

View actual results from Varsity Eight Repechage Heat 2.

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